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TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N  38.0W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
34 KT.......260NE 140SE 130SW 220NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 210SE 270SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.5N  38.0W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N  37.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.0N  38.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 120SE 110SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.4N  40.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.6N  42.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.3N  43.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.9N  42.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 38.6N  40.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 38.5N  34.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.2N  31.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.5N  38.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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