ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  39.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
50 KT.......100NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......170NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  39.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.7N  39.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.9N  38.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.4N  38.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.8N  39.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 35.4N  40.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 35.4N  41.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.7N  43.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 38.6N  42.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 40.2N  37.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N  39.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROTH/BLAKE
 
 
NNNN