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HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.9N  40.3W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.9N  40.3W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  40.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.4N  39.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.6N  39.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.4N  39.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.9N  39.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 35.4N  40.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 35.2N  42.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 37.5N  43.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 40.5N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.9N  40.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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