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HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  40.6W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  15SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......200NE 190SE 140SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 290SW 290NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N  40.6W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  40.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.5N  40.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.4N  40.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.7N  39.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.5N  39.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 36.0N  39.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 35.6N  41.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 36.5N  43.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 39.5N  41.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N  40.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ORRISON/BLAKE
 
 
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