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HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  40.4W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......200NE 190SE 140SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..320NE 320SE 290SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  40.4W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  40.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 35.0N  40.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.0N  40.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.8N  39.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.9N  39.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.5N  39.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 36.3N  40.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 36.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 38.0N  42.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  40.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ORRISON/BLAKE
 
 
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