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HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
0900 UTC WED SEP 13 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  40.0W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 190SE 140SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 320SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  40.0W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.1N  39.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.5N  40.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.6N  40.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.5N  39.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.9N  39.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.7N  39.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 36.5N  39.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 36.5N  42.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 38.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  40.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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