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HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  39.7W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......230NE 150SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 280SE 300SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  39.7W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 34.0N  40.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 35.1N  40.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.1N  40.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.9N  40.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 37.3N  40.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 150SE 130SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.5N  40.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 38.4N  42.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 40.6N  42.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N  39.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
 
 
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