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HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
0900 UTC TUE SEP 12 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  39.5W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 165SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  39.5W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  39.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.9N  39.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 32.7N  40.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.0N  41.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.0N  42.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.0N  41.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.9N  41.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 38.2N  42.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 40.4N  43.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  39.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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