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HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  39.8W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  39.8W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  39.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.5N  39.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.7N  40.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 32.6N  40.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.1N  41.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 35.2N  41.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.0N  41.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 37.1N  40.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 37.0N  41.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  39.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER TAYLOR/BLAKE
 
 
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