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Hurricane LEE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14                   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023               
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130   
KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)
 
AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)
 
SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)
 
VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   2(12)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   5(12)   2(14)
 
SAINT JOHN     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   4(12)   3(15)
SAINT JOHN     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   1(14)
 
SABA           34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 
ST EUSTATIUS   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
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