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HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115
KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11)
VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 3(15)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
SAINT JOHN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 3(15)
SAINT JOHN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
SAINT JOHN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 5(16) 2(18)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 2(13)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 2(13)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 2(12)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 3(15) 1(16)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
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