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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  65.8W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
50 KT.......160NE 170SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT.......270NE 270SE 240SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 540SE 600SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  65.8W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.4N  66.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 41.7N  66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 225SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 44.5N  65.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 250SE 220SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.3N  63.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 50.6N  58.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 53.0N  50.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 54.3N  41.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  65.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 16/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BROWN
 
 
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