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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  66.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
50 KT.......160NE 170SE 110SW 150NW.
34 KT.......280NE 280SE 200SW 220NW.
12 FT SEAS..440NE 480SE 500SW 410NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  66.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  67.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.5N  66.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
34 KT...280NE 280SE 220SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 41.8N  66.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 250SE 220SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 45.1N  65.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 215SE 135SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.8N  62.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 50.8N  57.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 53.4N  51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N  66.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 15/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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