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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  67.5W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
50 KT.......160NE 170SE 110SW 150NW.
34 KT.......280NE 280SE 200SW 220NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 420SE 420SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  67.5W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  67.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.8N  67.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
34 KT...280NE 280SE 220SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.3N  66.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 250SE 220SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 43.4N  66.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 180SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 46.3N  64.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 49.3N  61.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 52.2N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...160NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N  67.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 15/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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