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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  67.6W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
50 KT.......170NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......300NE 300SE 200SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 450SE 420SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  67.6W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  67.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.0N  67.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
50 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 230NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.4N  66.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 230NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 41.6N  66.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 270SE 200SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 44.3N  66.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...220NE 250SE 180SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.0N  63.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 200SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 49.6N  59.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 54.5N  42.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N  67.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 15/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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