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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  68.3W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
50 KT.......170NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......300NE 300SE 200SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..435NE 450SE 420SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  68.3W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  68.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.8N  67.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
50 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 200SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 37.0N  66.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 230NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.3N  66.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...270NE 270SE 200SW 220NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 43.3N  66.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 180SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 46.0N  65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 200SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 48.6N  61.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 53.7N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N  68.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 15/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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