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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  66.7W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT.......110NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT.......150NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT.......210NE 200SE 150SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 390SE 300SW 375NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  66.7W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  66.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.1N  67.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 210SE 160SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.7N  67.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 170SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.7N  68.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
50 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
34 KT...230NE 220SE 180SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.1N  67.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  65SE  45SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.
34 KT...250NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.0N  67.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
34 KT...250NE 240SE 200SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 38.0N  66.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
34 KT...270NE 250SE 210SW 250NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 44.0N  66.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 48.5N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  66.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 13/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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