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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC TUE SEP 12 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  65.9W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.
34 KT.......180NE 170SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 330SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  65.9W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  65.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.8N  66.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.9N  67.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  65SE  55SW  65NW.
50 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.4N  67.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...135NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.4N  68.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 220SE 170SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.6N  68.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 180SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.3N  67.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.
34 KT...240NE 230SE 200SW 230NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 40.7N  66.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 45.3N  65.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  65.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 12/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BANN/BLAKE/GALLINA
 
 
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