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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0300 UTC SUN SEP 10 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  59.9W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  59.9W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  59.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.6N  60.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.4N  62.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 23.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.3N  64.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.6N  65.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.0N  66.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 140SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 25.6N  68.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 28.8N  68.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  59.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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