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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
2100 UTC SAT SEP 09 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  59.1W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  59.1W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  58.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.4N  60.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.1N  61.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 22.9N  62.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.3N  64.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.6N  65.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.9N  66.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 25.1N  67.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 27.9N  68.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  59.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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