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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
1500 UTC SAT SEP 09 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  58.2W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 210SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  58.2W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  57.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.0N  59.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.7N  60.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.4N  61.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.9N  63.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.3N  64.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.6N  65.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 24.4N  67.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 26.8N  67.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  58.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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