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HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  52.4W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  928 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  52.4W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  51.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.1N  54.0W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.1N  56.1W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.1N  58.0W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.9N  59.6W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  60.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.1N  62.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 23.2N  64.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 24.1N  66.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  52.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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