ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  50.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  50.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  49.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.1N  51.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N  54.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.2N  56.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.1N  58.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.9N  59.8W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  61.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 22.6N  63.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.6N  66.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  50.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
 
 
NNNN