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TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  45.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  45.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  45.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.8N  47.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.7N  49.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.6N  52.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.6N  54.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N  56.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.8N  59.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  62.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 22.9N  65.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  45.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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