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TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
0300 UTC WED SEP 06 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  43.0W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  20SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  43.0W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  42.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.1N  44.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.9N  47.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.7N  49.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.6N  52.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.8N  54.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.9N  57.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 20.8N  61.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 22.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  43.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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