ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132023
1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  40.2W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  40.2W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 12.8N  42.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.6N  44.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.4N  47.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.3N  49.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.2N  52.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.3N  54.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 19.4N  59.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  40.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
NNNN