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TROPICAL STORM IDALIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
2100 UTC WED AUG 30 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IDALIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 38(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHERRY PT NC 34 1 30(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
NEW RIVER NC 34 1 71(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 2 69(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SURF CITY NC 34 31 53(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
SURF CITY NC 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WILMINGTON NC 34 41 29(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 89 9(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 1 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
FLORENCE SC 34 46 X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
COLUMBIA SC 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LITTLE RIVER 34 96 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
LITTLE RIVER 50 5 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 12 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 50 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
CHARLESTON SC 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 86 X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAVANNAH GA 50 33 X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
SAVANNAH GA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WAYCROSS GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WAYCROSS GA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 13(24) 6(30)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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