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HURRICANE IDALIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2023
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDALIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 11(11) 18(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHERRY PT NC 34 1 22(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
NEW RIVER NC 34 1 44(45) 15(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 49(50) 10(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SURF CITY NC 34 1 65(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
SURF CITY NC 50 X 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
WILMINGTON NC 34 1 59(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 2 84(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 30(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 7 23(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
COLUMBIA SC 34 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
LITTLE RIVER 34 6 81(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X 25(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 14 78(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 30(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 37 57(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CHARLESTON SC 34 96 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 50 9 56(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 68 13(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
AUGUSTA GA 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAVANNAH GA 50 71 X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
SAVANNAH GA 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KINGS BAY GA 50 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
WAYCROSS GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WAYCROSS GA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WAYCROSS GA 64 28 X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSONVILLE 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 12(22) 10(32)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
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