ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  83.2W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE  80SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE  90SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  83.2W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  83.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 32.4N  81.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE  80SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.8N  77.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.9N  74.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 110SE 140SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.2N  71.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...170NE  80SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.4N  69.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.9N  68.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 31.4N  66.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 32.5N  63.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  83.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 30/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
NNNN