Hurricane IDALIA

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  84.5W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  84.5W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  84.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N  83.9W...ON COAST
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 32.3N  81.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 90NE 170SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.5N  78.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE  80SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.8N  75.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 33.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.9N  71.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 32.0N  69.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 31.0N  68.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N  84.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 30/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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