Hurricane IDALIA

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HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
2100 UTC TUE AUG 29 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  84.8W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  84.8W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  84.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.3N  84.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.0N  82.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 90NE 170SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 32.9N  80.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 160SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 33.9N  77.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.8N  74.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 33.3N  71.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 32.3N  69.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 31.7N  69.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N  84.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 30/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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