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TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  85.0W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 130SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  85.0W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  85.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.7N  85.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  45SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.2N  84.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N  83.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 31.5N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.2N  78.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  80SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 33.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 33.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  85.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 29/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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