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TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
1500 UTC MON AUG 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  85.2W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  85.2W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  85.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.0N  85.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.9N  85.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   5NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.4N  84.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.2N  83.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 31.9N  81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 33.6N  78.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE  80SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 34.6N  71.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 34.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  85.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 28/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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