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TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
0900 UTC MON AUG 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  85.2W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  85.2W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  85.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.1N  85.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.6N  85.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.8N  84.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 27.7N  84.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.7N  82.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE  70SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 32.8N  79.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 160SE  80SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 34.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 34.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  85.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 28/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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