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TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
0300 UTC MON AUG 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  85.3W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  85.3W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  85.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.7N  85.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.2N  85.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 24.2N  84.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.8N  84.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.6N  82.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE  80SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 32.0N  80.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 160SE  90SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 34.3N  73.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 34.4N  67.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  85.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 28/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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