ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
0300 UTC SUN AUG 27 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  86.4W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 230 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  86.4W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  86.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.9N  86.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.9N  86.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.6N  85.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 23.1N  85.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 25.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 27.5N  84.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  80SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 32.7N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 35.2N  76.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N  86.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 27/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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