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HURRICANE FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  55.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT.......100NE 160SE 120SW 220NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 270SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  55.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  56.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 40.1N  52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.5N  47.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 44.7N  43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 160SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.5N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 170SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 47.9N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 48.6N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 49.0N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 49.5N  22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N  55.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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