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HURRICANE FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
2100 UTC THU AUG 31 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  60.1W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 140SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 220SW 310NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  60.1W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  61.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 37.1N  57.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 140SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 38.9N  53.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 40.9N  49.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 43.2N  45.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 170SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 45.1N  41.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 160SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 46.6N  37.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 150SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 49.5N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 52.5N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N  60.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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