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HURRICANE FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
1500 UTC THU AUG 31 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  61.6W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 130SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 220SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  61.6W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  62.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 36.3N  59.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 37.8N  55.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 130SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 39.7N  51.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 42.0N  47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  15SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 44.2N  43.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 45.9N  39.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 48.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 50.5N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N  61.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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