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HURRICANE FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  67.1W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  40SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  67.1W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  67.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 34.4N  65.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 35.2N  62.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  45SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 130SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 36.1N  58.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 130SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 37.2N  55.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.4N  52.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 160SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 40.1N  49.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 160SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 44.5N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 49.1N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  67.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 30/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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