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HURRICANE FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
0900 UTC MON AUG 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  70.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 100SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 135SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  70.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N  70.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 28.3N  71.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 29.8N  71.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 31.6N  70.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.2N  68.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 35.0N  65.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 130SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 37.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 150SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 42.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 48.0N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  70.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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