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TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  70.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  70.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  70.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.3N  69.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.0N  68.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.3N  66.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.7N  65.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.4N  65.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.8N  65.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 29.2N  67.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 33.0N  67.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  70.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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