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TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
2100 UTC WED AUG 23 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  70.6W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  70.6W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  70.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.4N  70.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.5N  68.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.3N  66.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.8N  65.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.6N  65.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 28.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 31.6N  67.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N  70.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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