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TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  70.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  70.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  71.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.5N  70.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.1N  69.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.8N  68.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.1N  67.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.4N  66.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.3N  65.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 27.3N  66.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 31.1N  67.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  70.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 23/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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