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TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
1500 UTC TUE AUG 22 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  71.1W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  71.1W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  71.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.5N  71.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  10SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.3N  70.9W...SOUTH COAST OF DOMIN REPUB
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.4N  70.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.1N  69.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.9N  68.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.3N  67.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 24.2N  66.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 27.1N  67.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  71.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 22/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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