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TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
2100 UTC SUN AUG 20 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  67.1W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  67.1W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  66.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.0N  68.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.4N  70.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.8N  71.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.2N  71.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.1N  71.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.0N  70.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 23.9N  67.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 25.4N  65.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  67.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 21/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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