Tropical Storm EMILY

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TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072023
0300 UTC MON AUG 21 2023

CORRECTED TO ADD 34-KT WIND RADII AT 22/00Z
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  40.2W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE   0SE   0SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  60SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  40.2W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  39.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N  41.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.5N  43.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...140NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.4N  45.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.6N  47.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.3N  48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.5N  49.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 32.9N  50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 39.0N  49.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  40.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BROWN
 
 
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