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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062023
0900 UTC FRI SEP 01 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  55.0W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  55.0W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  55.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.7N  54.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.1N  53.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 29.7N  52.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 30.7N  52.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 32.3N  51.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 34.7N  51.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N  55.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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