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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052023
2100 UTC SUN JUL 16 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  47.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  47.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  47.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 39.4N  45.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 38.5N  42.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 37.0N  41.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.3N  40.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.8N  40.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 33.0N  41.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 33.4N  44.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 35.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N  47.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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