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SUBTROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052023
2100 UTC SAT JUL 15 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  48.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  48.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  48.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 38.3N  48.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 39.3N  47.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 39.4N  45.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 38.6N  43.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 37.1N  41.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 35.4N  40.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 33.2N  41.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 33.5N  42.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N  48.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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